Wednesday, August 01, 2007

Emerging markets have arrived

Last week, developed world stock markets fell 5%, according to MSCI. Traditionally, emerging markets would fall twice as much on your average market panic (like this year's China scare or 2006's big May sell-off). But last week the MSCI EM index fell just 5.7%.

While I would be reluctant to declare the end of emerging market crises, this certainly shows just how much their risk levels have fallen due to fundamental improvements and, just as important, that developed nation investors have come to know and recognize this fact. As a veteran of nearly 30 years of economic upheavals in the developing world, this is as welcome as it was unexpected a decade ago.